Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2102.110297 2289.818744 2481.309115 2690.981247 2913.810352 3143.261785 3397.097103
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1826.007558 2104.849593 2401.164021 2738.351897 3110.251332 3506.763868 3960.313490
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1622.396552 1951.787347 2312.643784 2734.984676 3213.330762 3735.927022 4347.598781
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1450.907184 1811.793311 2217.697548 2704.242568 3267.665941 3895.696330 4644.628820
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1344.146548 1733.806322 2182.134048 2730.547049 3377.532159 4110.797072 4998.694540
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1239.550917 1648.656660 2129.483327 2728.801565 3447.967011 4275.391736 5291.127544
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1176.758556 1608.271624 2125.027634 2779.742861 3576.968931 4506.047242 5659.863189
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1087.279113 1528.250452 2066.571660 2759.999324 3616.857527 4628.251740 5898.740921
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1045.662659 1505.415111 2075.889900 2821.034895 3753.129765 4864.985425 6274.835340
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 988.538719 1458.645865 2051.758168 2837.450076 3832.389286 5031.722690 6566.671274
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 930.702165 1407.305866 2018.576669 2839.543094 3891.587781 5172.631613 6826.780368
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 841.913989 1309.338582 1920.188485 2753.448431 3835.568298 5168.117116 6905.740555
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 826.379286 1311.726814 1954.660041 2841.510534 4004.183610 5447.325949 7342.171086
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 797.255007 1293.530083 1960.510935 2891.434791 4124.086691 5666.811466 7706.964989
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 751.134210 1248.537906 1927.726168 2887.918969 4173.060376 5795.845551 7958.356278
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 698.713566 1191.484115 1875.653538 2855.881306 4182.479424 5872.973293 8143.379574
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 669.882210 1167.464891 1868.129663 2883.294622 4269.938243 6050.358429 8456.986983
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 633.727447 1130.465415 1840.507224 2881.475641 4317.202257 6175.218543 8703.561986
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 616.829219 1121.820668 1852.663514 2934.557214 4438.559203 6397.408057 9077.381995
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 579.210706 1079.048214 1813.601218 2913.985314 4458.489518 6485.739387 9277.431018
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 568.018043 1077.207893 1833.995191 2977.577048 4593.982243 6727.530891 9679.433013
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 544.600818 1054.554817 1822.504852 2994.677368 4664.888678 6883.664186 9969.990057
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 518.583544 1026.305303 1801.415614 2996.857674 4714.360818 7010.982235 10223.076926